Tuesday, October 11, 2011

#9 Oregon Vs. #18 Arizona State Preview

ASU and Oregon meet again this Saturday for Gameday
There is much intrigue going into the night cap of a big Saturday night. A potential preview of the inaugural Pac-12 conference championship game, two explosive offenses, flashy uniforms on both sides of the ball and last but certainly not least, the eyes of the country will be on Eugene, Oregon as they wake up for Lee Corso and the whole College Gameday crew.
Last season, Arizona State proved to be one of the tougher tests of the regular season as they held a 24-14 lead over Oregon in the second half. The Ducks responded though, scoring twice on defense and forcing 7 turnovers from the Sun Devils. ASU proved themselves a challenge for the Duck defense though, racking up 597 yards on offense. Steven Threet passed for 3 touch downs but his undoing was the four interceptions he threw and ultimately Oregon's defense is what won this game for Oregon.

Arizona State limited Oregon's run game and LaMichael James, containing him to 98 yards on 28 carries. The bulk of that yardage came early on in the game with a 40 yard sprint up the sideline on which James scored. The Sun Devils forced 11 punts from the Ducks but Jackson Rice was equal to the task, dropping five of them inside the 20 yard line and making ASU gain every yard.

That ASU defense, lead by dynamic Vontaze Burfict looks to stymie Oregon's offense again this Saturday in front of a national audience as the teams face off once again. There are several storylines that litter this game, whether ASU can keep up with Oregon as they did last year, injuries and turnovers.

A lot of what ASU needs to do to keep up with Oregon is to stay on the field offensively. Quarter back Brock Osweiler has been effective, completing 2/3 of his passes for over 1300 yards to this point in the season with 13 touchdowns to 6 interceptions. Where the trouble might come is that the ASU offensive line is giving up an average of 2.3 sacks per game and on the road it's a staggering 4 sack per game average. 6 of those sacks came against Illinois who were able to pressure Osweiler and force him into two interceptions and a pedestrian 25 of 45 passing day. If Oregon can pressure the quarter back like Illinois did, it could be a long day for the Sun Devil offense.

When the Ducks do get the ball they are going up against a defense who has forced 10 interceptions. With star cornerback Omar Bolden out, the ASU secondary looked to be the weakness of the defense when the season started, but so far they have passes with flying colors. They have play makers all over the field but one pleasant surprise for the secondary has been Alden Darby, a sophomore safety who had to be converted to corner. Darby has 3 interceptions in the past two games against Oregon State and Utah. It will be interesting to see how the young corner performs against the top tier of the conference and and experienced quarter back in Darron Thomas. There are two sides to every statistic and while Arizona State's 10 interceptions are impressive. 7 of them came against quarter backs Sean Mannion and Jon Hays, both of whom were making their first collegiate starts. A lot will be shown about this defense this Saturday, whether they are for real or if they have just been feasting on lesser opponents.

Thomas is going to have to step up in this game. Last year against ASU he was a bit wired, throwing the ball harder than he should causing the ball to ricochet off of normally sure handed Jeff Maehl. He started to settle down late in the game hitting a beautiful deep ball to Josh Huff for 54 yards and a score. With LaMichael James listed as day to day, no one really know the status of the shifty speedster so one has to focus on known quantities. Assuming James is out, the load will shift to Kenjon Barner and De'Anthony Thomas. Both have performed admirably to this point in the season, but it will be interesting to see how they step up when they are forced to carry the load. Thomas has shown explosiveness but is still a freshman. Getting him in a rhythm and involved early will be key to the Ducks' prolific scoring attack. Darron Thomas is going to have to be accurate, it was noted last week that he has matured as a passer and he is going to need to continue that maturation and get his receivers in the game early and often. If the Ducks can get their play makers into one on one match ups in open space, they have a good shot to move the ball a lot against a ASU defense that is talented but not very deep. Look for the Ducks to attack at home on both sides of the ball where they have the ominous Autzen crowd in their favor. 

ASU Will Win If:                        Oregon Will Win If:
Force turnovers                            Make Osweiler make mistakes
Make Ducks 1 dimensional           Spread the field
Keep Oregon off the field               Win the line of scrimmage

1 comment:

  1. Jake. Good stuff! Keep up the great work buddy.
    Bob McGinnis

    ReplyDelete